Validation of two standard risk assessments static99, 1999. The static99 is intended to be used with adult male offenders who have committed either a contact or noncontact sexual offense, and reached the age of 18 prior to release to the community. In 2012, the age item for the scale was updated, creating static 99r. Emrrc risk assessment 2015 2016 page 924 112 57 sec 115 28. Analyses were limited to testing for firsttime recidivism for each of the four types of recidivism studied. Whats new in 2015 static 99r2002r sexual recidivism estimates as empirical actuarial risk tools, static 99r and static 2002r norms are updated as new information becomes available. In 2012, the age item for the scale was updated, creating static99r. Access to the adult static risk assessment asra program. As stated in the report by the pew center on the states, one in 31. The risk assessment procedures contained in this report, including static99 have been developed by the authors in the course of their duties. For more information on the asra program, see the adult static risk assessment user guide. These risk percentages are obtained from the static 99 recidivism percentages prepared by the authors, hanson and thornton, based on national norms. Forensic psychologists often use the static99r, a onepage form, to assign sex offenders into different risk groups.
The actual body of the static99 assessment result provides the longterm estimated risks for sexual and violent recidivism for a 5year, 10year, and 15year period. Does field reliability for static99 scores decrease as scores. By law, static risk scores are displayed on the megans law website, if a static99 or static99r score is available. First, norms are only presented for the routine and high risk high need hrhn samples.
Anyone choosing to use or adopt the risk assessment procedures, including static 99, in any way, does so on the sole basis of their responsibility to judge their suitability for their own specific purposes. The static 99r consists of 10 items and produces estimates of future risk based upon the number of risk factors present in any one individual. Denial was defined as failure to accept responsibility for the current offense and was assessed using the offender assessment system. Static 99 is a ten item actuarial assessment instrument created by r.
The long reach of american corrections, sophisticated risk assessment tools now help. Actuarial instruments for sex offender reoffense categorize sexual offenders. Static99 scores are moderate predictors of sexual recidivism, with the most recent static99 metaanalysis reporting a median cohens d effect size of. Since risk assessment did not begin until 2006 in california, many offenders convicted andor convicted before that date have not been scored on. Static99, the course would also be suitable to current users of. These risk percentages are obtained from the static99 recidivism percentages prepared by the authors, hanson and thornton, based on national norms.
The predictive properties of psychiatric diagnoses, dynamic. Absolute recidivism rates predicted by static 99r and static 2002r sex offender risk assessment tools vary across samples. The static 99 is intended to be used with adult male offenders who have committed either a contact or noncontact sexual offense, and reached the age of 18 prior to release to the community. The static99 is a ten item actuarial assessment instrument created by r. A historical overview of the risk assessment tools. There was, was not sufficient information available to complete the static 99r score following the coding manual 2016 version. An evaluation of the fivelevel system for risk communication. Static99 sex offender risk assessment course booklet. As of fall 2016 the static99 developers are releasing a new manual and risk categories, along with recommendations that users receive updated training on the revised manual from a certified static99r trainer.
Hanson, helmus, and harris 2015 found that conscientious evaluators in the. Static99 sex offender risk assessment course soap100, offered by the justice institute of british. Evaluating the implementation of static 99r is important for california because it is widely used for decisionmaking with sexual offenders. Actuarial risk assessment measures static or dynamic help identify which offenders are. A field examination of the interrater reliability of the static99 and. Static99 is a ten item actuarial assessment instrument created by r.
Since risk assessment did not begin until 2006 in california, many offenders convicted andor convicted before that date have not been scored on the static risk assessment instrument. Static99r risk estimates wildly unstable, developers admit. Once a criminal record is obtained, it will always be a part of an. The static99 static 99 is an actuarial assessment instrument for use with adult male sexual offenders. Assessing the risk and needs of supervised sexual offenders. The study compared the predictive accuracy of three sex offender risk assessment measures. Methodology sampling began with offenders assessed. Sex offender risk assessments static 99, 99r, 2002, 2002r 66% pclr 35% personality assessments. It is the most widely used sex offender risk assessment instrument in the.
The most recent updates contain two significant changes. By the fall of 2012, about 30,000 sex offenders in the california registry had a static99 or static99r score. Sex offender risk assessment forensic version of the structured risk assessment srafv. Predictive accuracy was tested using four diverse datasets drawn from canada and the united kingdom total n. The aim of this study was to examine the relationship between denial, static risk, and sexual recidivism for offenders with different types of current sexual offense. Static99r coding form question number risk factor codes score 1 young score according to the offenders age at time of release flat minimum release date aged 18 to 34. Combining static99r and stable2007 risk categories. Sex offender risk assesment training and consultation. It is the most widely used sex offender risk assessment instrument in the world this site is dedicated to the.
In 2007, saratso chose the static 99 as the first official static risk assessment instrument for adult males, meaning that it must be scored for mandated cases. Evaluating the implementation of static99r is important for california because it is widely used for decisionmaking with sexual offenders. Oct 11, 2016 the static99r has been the most widelyused and wellresearched measure in sex offender risk assessment. Appraising the risk matrix 2000 static sex offender risk. The static99r is an actuarial scale that is commonly used to assess the recidivism risk of male sex offenders. Static99static99r national institute of corrections. Soraf is a webbased assessment management system designed for largescale deployment of sex offender risk assessment instruments, namely static99, stable2007, and acute2007, across multiple jurisdictions, with central administration, multilevel control and reporting. I believe that this score fairly represents, does not fairly represent the risk presented by mr. Validation of two standard risk assessments static99. A model of static and dynamic sex offender risk assessment. Soraf is a webbased assessment management system designed for largescale deployment of sex offender risk assessment instruments, namely static 99, stable2007, and acute2007, across multiple jurisdictions, with central administration, multilevel control and reporting. The primary function of the static risk assessment is to categorize offenders into one of the following risk for reoffense levels. Sexual recidivism risk assessments are increasingly required in behavioral health, correctional, and court settings. Anyone choosing to use or adopt the risk assessment procedures, including static99, in any way, does so on the sole basis of their responsibility to judge their suitability for their own specific purposes.
Actuarial assessment that uses static factors to predict risk, 3 dynarnic assessment that monitors changes in individuals over time as a way of predicting risk. The static 99r is a wellknown instrument used to estimate risk for reoffense among individuals who have committed a sexual offense. Static refers to risk factors that cannot decrease such as criminal history. Overall, the static99 and static2002 are both reliable and valid measures of recidivism risk for sexual offenders. Predictive validity of the static99 and static2002 for sex. Browne international journal of offender therapy and comparative criminology 20 59. Neither of these instruments, however, has the research backing of the more established instruments of static risk, such as the static99r and static2002r. The predictive properties of psychiatric diagnoses. The actual body of the static 99 assessment result provides the longterm estimated risks for sexual and violent recidivism for a 5year, 10year, and 15year period. Dssotab 04 static 081127 2 7 rrasor sacjmin static99 the evolution of static99rstatic2002r step 1. Static99, static2002, recidivism, risk assessment, sexual offenders risk assessment has become embedded in our criminal justice system with important consequences for public safety and the offender.
Validation studies in california support good predictive accuracy of static 99r the california department of justice doj partnered with the saratso committee to conduct two validation studies of the static 99 risk assessment instrument. Nfpa 99 establishes criteria for levels of health care services or systems based on risk to the patients, staff, or visitors in health care facilities to minimize the hazards of fire, explosion, and electricity. The static99r is a wellknown instrument used to estimate risk for reoffense among individuals who have committed a sexual offense. Comprehensive coding manuals for both the static99 harris, phenix. From the 2015 version, a new section has been added on the updated nominal risk categories, and tweaks have been made to phrasing and references. Absolute recidivism rates predicted by static99r and static2002r sex offender risk assessment tools vary across samples. Static99r formerly static99 live webinar training gifr. Jan 08, 2020 risk in sexual offenders can effectively be captured by several well validated risk assessment instruments. The static 99r is based on followup studies from canada and the united kingdom with a total sample size of 1,301 sexual offenders.
Methodology sampling began with offenders assessed between july 1, 2005 and december 3, 2008. The risk assessment procedures contained in this report, including static 99 have been developed by the authors in the course of their duties. Rapid risk assessment of sex offender recidivism, developed by hanson. Jun 09, 2015 risk assessment of individuals convicted of sexual offenses helps estimate the future risk of the offender to the community and provides a baseline for potential treatment needs. Predictive validity of the static99 and static2002 for.
Oct 18, 2012 static99r risk estimates wildly unstable, developers admit the developers of the widely used static99r risk assessment tool for sex offenders have conceded that the instrument is not accurate in providing numerical estimates of risk for sexual recidivism for any specific offender. Risk in sexual offenders can effectively be captured by several well validated risk assessment instruments. Presented by a certified static99r trainer, this live and interactive workshop offered monthly will train you in the use of the static99r while earning 8 hours of valuable continuing education. The developers release a new instrument, the static2002, intended to address some of the weaknesses of static99. Static99r risk estimates wildly unstable, developers admit the developers of the widely used static99r risk assessment tool for sex offenders have conceded that the instrument is not accurate in providing numerical. Journal of threat assessment and management 2014, vol. Appraising the risk matrix 2000 static sex offender risk assessment tool ruth j. The washington state adult static risk assessment is an actuarial assessment that combines age, gender, adult misdemeanors, and adult and juvenile felony history of convictions to predict reoffending. It is the most widely used sex offender risk assessment. Recent surveys suggest that the most widelyresearched and commonlyused risk assessment tool for sex offenders is the static 99r formerly static 99. The prison psychologist decided that hicks should be compared to the highestrisk norm group, which suggested there was a 20.
A historical overview of the risk assessment tools utilised. Improving actuarial risk assessments for sex offenders. Relationships between denial, risk, and recidivism in. The static99 and the static2002 are actuarial instruments that predict sex offender recidivism. This manual comprises the third published version of the static 99, and now static 99r, coding rules previous versions. Pdf the field validity of static99r sex offender risk. Recent surveys suggest that the most widelyresearched and commonlyused risk assessment tool for sex offenders is the static99r formerly static99. Static risk level measured using a revised version of the risk. The static99r is based on static unchanging risk factors which predict the potential for sexual reoffending, such as age at release from custody on the sex. Combining static 99r and stable2007 risk categories. They were designed to be widely applicable risk scales for the prediction of sexual recidivism that could be scored using commonly available file information from forensic settings such as prisons and forensic hospitals.
Risk assessment of individuals convicted of sexual offenses helps estimate the future risk of the offender to the community and provides a baseline for potential treatment needs. A brief consideration of each of these risk assessment approaches provides a fi. Forensic psychologists often use the static 99r, a onepage form, to assign sex offenders into different risk groups. Apr 19, 2015 the developers release a new instrument, the static2002, intended to address some of the weaknesses of static99. By the fall of 2012, about 30,000 sex offenders in the california registry had a static 99 or static 99r score. Because the risk assessment portion is based entirely on washington state and nonwashington state criminal conviction history and other static information, it can be completed without contact with the offender. Predictive accuracy was tested using four diverse datasets drawn from canada and the united kingdom total n 1. Combined summary report static99, stable, acute, and more. The static 99 is a ten item actuarial assessment instrument created by r. This critical appraisal explores the reliability and validity of the risk matrix 2000 static sex offender risk assessment tool that is widely used in the united kingdom. Static99, risk assessment, sex offender, field reliability, rater.